"Trend" Sociological Agency: GERB has a comfortable lead over the second by just over 10%

GERB has a comfortable lead over the second party with just over 10% of voters. Then follow a group of 3 formations with almost similar results - We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria (WCC-DB) with (15.4%), Movement for Rights and Freedoms (MRF) with (14.9%) and Vazrazhdane political party with (14.8%). Those findings were reported in a sociological study of "Trend" sociological agency.

The remaining days of the political campaign will decide the battle for second, third and fourth place. Voter turnout will be similar to that of the last parliamentary elections, claim the researchers at "Trend", BGNES reported.

Voter turnout in the upcoming parliamentary elections is expected to be around 48% of Bulgarians of legal age living in the country - approximately between 2.5 million and 2.7 million voters are expected to go to the polls on June 9. For the European elections, the declared turnout is 3% lower.

In the first half of the campaign, no structural change was registered in the electoral attitudes of the Bulgarians. GERB has a comfortable lead over the second party with just over 10% of voters. This is followed by a group of 3 formations with almost similar results - PP-DB (15.4%), DPS (14.9%) and Vazrazhdane (14.8%). The order for second, third and fourth place will be decided throughout the remaining campaign. The Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP) retained the fifth position with 8.5% of the voters, followed by "Ima talik narod" with 5.5%.

Below the barrier for parliamentary representation remain Solidarity Bulgaria (2.4%), Blue Bulgaria (1.8%), The Left (1.4%), Bulgarian Rise (1.2%) and VMRO (1.1%).

The option "I do not support anyone" collects just over 5% of the research, but the result of declared non-voters does not participate in the poll voting distribution.

There is no serious difference in the preferences of Bulgarians between the elections for the national and European Parliament. A slightly stronger result in the European elections is expected for the WCC-DB coalition (16.1%) and Vazrazhdane (15.1%). For the BSP, the result for the Eurolist will be weaker compared to the national vote.

We clarify that due to the small differences in the percentages of the second, third and fourth in the ranking and due to the possibility of voting in the parliamentary elections in countries outside the European Union, the ranking of the formations in the parliamentary and European elections may be different.

A "Trend" study was commissioned by "24 Chasa" and is dedicated to the electoral attitudes of Bulgarians. The study was carried out in the period between May 11 and 18, 2024 through a direct semi-standardized face-to-face interview with a tablet device among 1,003 people aged 18+. /BGNES